Tuesday, July 19, 2016

Dear Topps: Slow Down. Please.

I started collecting Topps Slam cards just a few days ago, and it has been fun to collect the digital cards, make trades, and most importantly enjoy sharing the experience with my wrestling fanatic son.  We've spent hours trading cards and looking at each other's collections as I've taught him how to measure the value of different variants and how to weigh the fairness of a trade.

Unfortunately, I'm afraid this new hobby will have a short shelf life for both of us.

I'm also an NFL and MLB fan, so I downloaded the Huddle and Bunt apps on the next day.  I picked an MLB player, Jake Arrieta, and scrolled down the list; there were more than 100 variations of his cards in the Bunt set.  That wasn't a typo.  More than 100.  That's obscene/absurd/ridiculous/infuriating (pick any or all) and impossible to collect them all without spending thousands of dollars on coins.

One of the initial appeals of the WWE Slam cards was its simplicity.  There were five color variations of each base card and a few types of inserts.  Over the last few days, I've seen that Topps is going to grab as much money as they can during this first week, but I think they're overestimating how long wrestling fans will be willing to shell out a bunch of money.

Each day this first week, they've added a new Charisma or Aerialist card, but they've also added two "autograph" cards over the last two days.  Yesterday, it was Dean Ambrose.  I got a notification while I was in line at city hall, and when I checked for pack availability a half-hour later, they were long gone.  Today, they released Daniel Bryan.  I looked at the pack cost, 10,000 coins, and decided to open a few despite the odds being against my pulling the Daniel Bryan autograph.  What I received was one green card and a whole bunch of white duplicates.  If I wanted to increase my odds from 1:50 to 1:5, I could shell out 100,000 coins.  That means to give yourself a very good chance of getting the card, you'd have to spend 500,000 coins (you can buy 450,000 for $49.99 and another 70,000 for $9.99).  If this was a once-per-year event, I could understand, but Topps released the Bryan autograph on the day after they released Ambrose.  What makes this even harder to swallow is that I can get a signed 8x10 photo of Daniel Bryan for $20.00.

Like most dads, I'm a sucker, so I spent some money to pull the Daniel Bryan card.  I traded it to my son for the steep price of...a teal Shinsuke Nakamura card.  But this was a one-time deal that came with some strings attached:
  1. No trading the card.
  2. If he decides to quit playing, he has to trade it back to me.
  3. Never again.  This was a one-time thing, but I'm done spending money on coins for either of us.  If he wants to buy coins, he'll have to spend his own money on them.
In addition to the problem I have with the autograph cards and increasing number of inserts, I'm disappointed that they keep giving away the Week 1 cards for free.  These are cards that have been available in packs that cost 15,000 coins, and now that we've spent money putting together a complete set so my son can get the Ultimate Warrior award card this week, I learn that they're giving away seven of the set's 20 cards!  I don't want to count how many valuable orange cards I had to trade away to help him complete his set only to see many of those Week 1 given away (or scheduled to be given away) for nothing.

As a kid, I was a huge fan of baseball and football cards.  These days, I try steering my son away from collecting trading cards because the packs are much more expensive, there are fewer cards in each pack, and there are so many inserts and variations that the whole hobby has become a train-wreck full of greed and severely lacking in fun.  It's clearly a business, and that's fine for businesspeople, but there is little room left for hobbyists.

It's obvious that Topps continued this trend with the Huddle and Bunt sets.  I wish I could beg them not to ruin the Slam set, but it looks to be inevitable.

As for my future with the Topps Slam set, it's time to focus on my own collection.  I have completed the white set, and I have a decent number of greens, teals, and now 21 orange legends.  I have three black legend cards so far.  Everyone else can go nuts over the inserts; I'm a base set kind of guy anyway.

A Near-Scam Experience

Until last night, I couldn't understand why I'd regularly see warnings in the Fan Feed about scammers.  How does someone scam you when you have to approve a trade?

TKell23 posted that he/she had black cards for trade.  I've completed my white set, and now I'm collecting legends in the other color variants, so I sought his Paul Bearer black card.  Although I didn't have a lot left to offer that I hadn't locked, I tried making the best deal I could offer: 2 orange (Del Rio and Kofi), 3 teal (including Finn Balor and Bray Wyatt), and 4 green cards.  Although I didn't think the trade would be accepted, it was a reasonable offer so I gave it a shot.

TKell23 countered my offer, and I was just about to click Accept when something caught my eye.  The black Paul Bearer card wasn't black anymore.  He or she switched it out with a white Paul Bearer.  I looked at the Fan Feed once again, and two people complained that TKell23 tried scamming them with the same black-for-white switch tactic.

If you're active in trading, make sure you know exactly what you're giving and receiving before you click Accept.  Especially take a close look when you receive counter offers.

For everything that people enjoy, there's someone out there willing to ruin it with greed and shady tactics.  If you're one of those people, you're a loser with a 0% percent chance of long-term happiness in life, and there are no number of black cards or inserts that would make any decent, self-respecting person wish to trade places with you.

Monday, July 18, 2016

Insert Card Values

Week 1 Exclusive
Name                           Set       Value
AJ Styles                    Wk1        350
Asuka                         Wk1     3,000
Bayley                        Wk1     2,750
Becky Lynch              Wk1        300
Bret Hart                     Wk1     2,750
Charlotte                     Wk1        325 
Finn Balor                   Wk1     3,000
John Cena                   Wk1     3,500
Kevin Owens              Wk1      3,000
Randy Savage             Wk1        275
Ric Flair                      Wk1        300
Roman Reigns            Wk1      3,250
Samoa Joe                  Wk1      3,250
Sasha Banks               Wk1      5,000
Seth Rollins                Wk1         325
Shawn Michaels         Wk1      2,750
Shinsuke Nakamura   Wk1      3,500
The Rock                    Wk1        300 
Triple H                      Wk1      2,750
The Undertaker          Wk1      2,750


Week 1 Award (not yet released; estimated value)
Name                           Set       Value
The Ultimate Warrior Wk1    10,000


Aerialist
Name                                Set                       Green       White

Finn Balor                       AER                      5,000       10,000
Kalisto                             AER                      4,000         8,000
Kofi Kingston                  AER                      4,000         8,000
Neville                             AER                      4,000         8,000
Rob Van Dam                  AER                      4,000         8,000


Aerialist Award
Name                                Set                        Green         White

Eddie Guerrero               AER                       5,000         15,000



Charisma
Name                                 Set                        Blue           Purple          Pink
Big E.                               CHA                      4,000          6,000         10,000
Sasha Banks                     CHA                      6,000          9,000         15,000
Shinsuke Nakamura         CHA                      5,000          7,500         12,500
Sting                                 CHA                      4,000          6,000         10,000



Autograph Series
Name                                  Set                       Value 

Dean Ambrose                AUTO                   250,000
Daniel Bryan                   AUTO                   250,000








How are cards valued?


I created formulas in Excel to determine average coin and pack costs, as well as card rarity to determine "common card" values for each base set and insert variation.  Once I had these common card and variation multipliers values, I factored in star popularity and card demand to assign a base value to each card.

Values are shown in coin equivalents, not monetary values.  Unfortunately, Topps doesn't allow us to sell the cards for coins, but this at least gives us collectors some guidance when making trades.  In fact, I made this guide because I was tired of blindly making trades without knowing how cards matched up with one another.  Do I trade three Greens for an Orange?  Should I give up a Week 1 Exclusive Roman Reigns for 2 Teal cards?

This guide isn't perfect, but it's the only thing like this right now.  I hope you find it useful, but I didn't hire a complaint department, so feel free to close this window or make your own guide if you don't like it.

Series 1 Base Card Values


Values are shown in coin equivalents, not dollar values.
Name Set White Green Teal Orange Black
AJ Styles Base 350 1225 3850 8750 43750
Alberto Del Rio Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Alexa Bliss Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Alicia Fox Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Alundra Blayze Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Andre the Giant Base 300 1050 3300 7500 37500
Angelo Dawkins Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Apollo Crews Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Arn Anderson Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Asuka Base 300 1050 3300 7500 37500
Austin Aries Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Bam Bam Bigelow Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Baron Corbin Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Bayley Base 275 962.5 3025 6875 34375
Becky Lynch Base 300 1050 3300 7500 37500
Big Boss Man Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Big Cass Base 300 1050 3300 7500 37500
Big E Base 275 962.5 3025 6875 34375
Big John Studd Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Big Show Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Billie Kay Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Blake Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Bo Dallas Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Bob Backlund Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Bobby the Brain Heenan Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Booker T Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Braun Strowman Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Bray Wyatt Base 275 962.5 3025 6875 34375
Bret Hitman Hart Base 275 962.5 3025 6875 34375
Brian Knobbs Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Brian Pillman Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Brie Bella Base 275 962.5 3025 6875 34375
Brock Lesnar Base 325 1137.5 3575 8125 40625
Bruno Sammartino Base 275 962.5 3025 6875 34375
Bubba Ray Dudley Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Bushwhacker Butch Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Bushwhacker Luke Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Byron Saxton Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Carmella Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Cesaro Base 275 962.5 3025 6875 34375
Chad Gable Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Charlotte Base 325 1137.5 3575 8125 40625
Chief Jay Strongbow Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Chris Jericho Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Christian Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Classy Freddie Blassie Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Corey Graves Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Cowboy Bob Orton Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Curtis Axel Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
D-Von Dudley Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Dana Brooke Base 275 962.5 3025 6875 34375
Daniel Bryan Base 300 1050 3300 7500 37500
Danny Davis Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Darren Young Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Dash Wilder Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Dasha Fuentes Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
David Otunga Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Dean Ambrose Base 375 1312.5 4125 9375 46875
Dean Malenko Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Diamond Dallas Page Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Dolph Ziggler Base 275 962.5 3025 6875 34375
Dory Funk Jr. Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Dusty Rhodes Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Earthquake Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Eddie Guerrero Base 275 962.5 3025 6875 34375
Edge Base 300 1050 3300 7500 37500
Elias Samson Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Emma Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Enzo Amore Base 325 1137.5 3575 8125 40625
Erick Rowan Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Eva Marie Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Eve Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Finn Balor Base 300 1050 3300 7500 37500
General Adnan Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
George the Animal Steele Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Gerald Brisco Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Goldust Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Gorilla Monsoon Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Greg the Hammer Valentine Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Hacksaw Jim Duggan Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Harley Race Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Heath Slater Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Hideo Otami Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
High Chief Peter Maivia Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Honky Tonk Man Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Howard Finkel Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Irwin R. Schyster Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
JBL Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Jack Swagger Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Jake the Snake Roberts Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Jamie Noble Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Jason Jordan Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Jerry Sags Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Jerry the King Lawler Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Jey Uso Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Jim Ross Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Jim the Anvil Neidhart Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Jimmy Hart Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Jimmy Uso Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
John Cena Base 350 1225 3850 8750 43750
Jojo Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Junkyard Dog Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Kalisto Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Kane Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Kerry Von Erich Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Kevin Nash Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Kevin Owens Base 300 1050 3300 7500 37500
Kevin Von Erich Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Kofi Kingston Base 275 962.5 3025 6875 34375
Konnor Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Lana Base 275 962.5 3025 6875 34375
Larry Zbyszko Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Lex Luger Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Lita Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Luke Harper Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Macho Man Randy Savage Base 275 962.5 3025 6875 34375
Mark Henry Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Mean Gene Okerlund Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Michael Hayes Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Miss Elizabeth Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Mojo Rawley Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Mr Perfect Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Mr X Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Murphy Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Naomi Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Natalya Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Neville Base 275 962.5 3025 6875 34375
Nia Jax Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Nikki Bella Base 300 1050 3300 7500 37500
Nikolai Volkoff Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Norman Smiley Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Paige Base 275 962.5 3025 6875 34375
Papa Shango Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Pat Patterson Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Paul Bearer Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Paul Orndorff Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Peyton Royce Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
R-Truth Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Randy Orton Base 275 962.5 3025 6875 34375
Ravishing Rick Rude Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Razor Ramon Base 275 962.5 3025 6875 34375
Renee Young Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Ric Flair Base 300 1050 3300 7500 37500
Ricky Steamboat Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Rikishi Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Road Dogg Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Rob Van Dam Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Rocky Johnson Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Roman Reigns Base 325 1137.5 3575 8125 40625
Ron Simmons Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Rosa Mendes Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Rowdy Roddy Piper Base 275 962.5 3025 6875 34375
Rusev Base 275 962.5 3025 6875 34375
Sami Zayn Base 350 1225 3850 8750 43750
Samoa Joe Base 325 1137.5 3575 8125 40625
Sasha Banks Base 500 1750 5500 12500 62500
Sawyer Fulton Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Scott Dawson Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Scott Hall Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Scott Stanford Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Sensational Sherri Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Seth Rollins Base 325 1137.5 3575 8125 40625
Sgt Slaughter Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Shawn Michaels Base 275 962.5 3025 6875 34375
Sheamus Base 275 962.5 3025 6875 34375
Shinsuke Nakamura Base 350 1225 3850 8750 43750
Simon Gotch Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Sin Cara Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Stephanie McMahon Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Stevie Ray Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Sting Base 300 1050 3300 7500 37500
Stone Cold Steve Austin Base 300 1050 3300 7500 37500
Summer Rae Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Superstar Billy Graham Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Tamina Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
The Miz Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
The Rock Base 300 1050 3300 7500 37500
Titus O'Neil Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Tom Phillips Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Tony Chimel Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Triple H Base 275 962.5 3025 6875 34375
Tye Dillinger Base 225 787.5 2475 5625 28125
Tyler Breeze Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250
Tyson Kidd Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Undertaker Base 275 962.5 3025 6875 34375
Viktor Base 200 700 2200 5000 25000
Xavier Woods Base 275 962.5 3025 6875 34375
Zach Ryder Base 250 875 2750 6250 31250